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How To Win On "Deal Or No Deal"

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How To Win On "Deal Or No Deal"

If you've got a thing for models, briefcases or probability theory, this is the game for you. Here are some approaches for winning on the show. If you've got a thing for models, briefcases or probability theory, this is the game for you. Here are some approaches for winning on the show.

Step 1: Know the Game

There is NO SKILL AT ALL involved in this game, except the ability to keep your head. So don't overthink it.

Step 2: Know Yourself

Most contestants start out aiming for a certain amount of money. But once the game is on, they bet past that amount- only to lose it all. Decide on your target sum and stick to it.

Step 3: Know The Banker

For a fictional character, he has a lot of control over your life while you're onstage, so get to know him. His buy-out offer is based on the average of the dollar amounts still in play. But the banker's offer is rarely spot-on. There are many theories on what his formula is, but most agree that early offers are lower than average.

Step 4: Know Your Math

The basic law of probability states that each case, and therefore each dollar amount, has an equal likelihood of being eliminated. You can know your odds at any time based on the number of cases in play. In other words, if you've got 2 cases in play, one low and one high, your chances of keeping the high one are 1 in 2. If there are 12 cases left and only one large amount on the board, your odds of keeping it are 11 in 12- pretty good. Keeping that in mind will keep your choices in check.

Step 5: Stay Strong

Don't lose focus. Many contestants choose "No Deal" late in the game when they have little chance of winning.

Step 6: The Switcheroo

If you do make it to the last case, you'll be offered the chance to switch. One myth is that switching will increase your chance to win. Not true. You have a 50-50 chance of getting the top prize either way.

Step 7: Go Nuts!

Whether you win a million or lose it all, the reason we love the show is seeing people's reactions. Make the most of your triumph or your crushing, pathetic downfall. If only for your home audience.

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Tips & Comments
  1. maralene

    i dont wanna no how to play. its funny it doesnt show you on to get on the programme though

  2. maralene

    how do i get on the programme deal or no deal

  3. Kaiki

    I didn't learn anything I don't already yell at the TV. D:

  4. reptile_lover07

    is deal or no deal in america too? cos i thought it was only in australia

  5. Anonymous

    I would like to know how to get on the deal or no deal show

  6. Anonymous

    This is not the Monty Hall Problem. You choose which box they open, not them.

  7. Anonymous

    This didn't really provide a way to win...this was more of a extensive way of saying "You may or may not win, but don't stress about it." ...o_O

  8. Anonymous

    if either of you actually knew anything about the monty hall problem u would know that the only reason the odds are better switching in that game is because of the knowledge of the host. When he removes a case it is guarenteed to not be the milllion case whereas in deal or no deal the 'luck' as u call it of taking out the bad cases is in fact a part of the statistical analysis, thus leaving ur odds at exactly 1/2.

  9. Anonymous

    um... actually your odds are much better than the monty hall problem if you switch because there are more than 3 possibilities. its the same principle as the monty hall problem but even better odds! SWITCH!!

  10. Anonymous

    um, switching does in fact improve ur odds. look up 'monty hall problem' in wikipedia. if ur left with .01 and 1 mil as the last two and they offer you to switch...u should. the only difference between this and the monty hall problem is u were lucky enough to remove the other bad cases rather than having them removed for you.